I think you're being pessimistic, at least that's my hope! I do agree that it would be "a major disaster for the North American dog world if it should come to pass".
The two organizations are so different. In UKC only the owner can handle the dog in conformation - no professional handlers allowed. That's part of the philsophy of building the relationship between owner and dog, and for the focus to be on the dog. Very different from AKC, where I hear complaints that "the face" handling the dog won. In performance events, UKC has an excellent tiered level of titles. There's always something attainable to shoot for as you progress. From my experience with them, none of the snootiness associated with AKC events is present. They also have Total Dog titles - combination of conformation and performance events. I've seen folks from weight pulls get into conformation because of that (people in a million years I'd never thought would do conformation), and vice versa.
I do know that many people would be unhappy at the prospect of such a merger. UKC is needed. The events are not pressure cookers, but fun, educational, encouraging as well as competitive. That need exists to include more people who may not work with their dogs if the only options available were just highly competitive events.
I don't have statistics, but there are many people whose dogs have dual registration AKC/UKC just to be able to enjoy the events. So, if there were a merger, there's nothing gained for AKC with those people. As the "fun" started to go out of events, AKC would then lose revenue from "fun" event attending people going away. In business, I've been part of a fun, entrepreneurial company that was purchased by a procedural driven company. In 2-3 years, the procedural driven company lost everything they bought because the fun/entrepreneurial people left. They lost alot of money. I would say the same would happen here if that type of merger were to occur.
If you go to the UKC's about us page, they have a long page detailing their philosophy (which I read after I formed my opinion of them and was pleased to find that the philosophy from the top is evident at the events) and talks about dog events and building the relationship between owner/dog.
If you go to AKC's about us page, you find links to organization charts, board minutes, etc. When I drill down to their "mission" (not that easy to find) we finally get "The American Kennel Club is dedicated to upholding the integrity of its Registry, promoting the sport of purebred dogs and breeding for type and function. Founded in 1884, the AKC and its affiliated organizations advocate for the purebred dog as a family companion, advance canine health and well-being, work to protect the rights of all dog owners and promote responsible dog ownership. ". The link to their history is all about the corporation and conformation.
Definitely an innovative company versus a procedural company - not a match!
Of course, that doesn't mean logic will prevail as procedural driven companies still buy entrepreneurial companies and much of the time don't incorporate philosopy into the merger and end up losing.
Each serves it's own base and I hope it stays that way!
